Social Security COLA for 2027 may be highest in 3 years
New estimates based on recent government inflation data suggest Social Security’s 2027 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) will be around 3.5%–3.6%, which would be the largest increase since 2023 and higher than the average COLA over the past two decades.
Source: CNBC ·
A bigger Social Security raise in 2027 means your future checks will keep pace better with inflation—but only if you're actually receiving them by then, which depends entirely on when you claim. If you're 15 years from retirement, this COLA trajectory matters for your claiming decision around age 62–67. A 3.5%–3.6% annual adjustment compounds meaningfully over a decade, making the difference between claiming early at a reduced rate versus waiting for a larger baseline benefit more calculable now. Worth running the numbers on how different claiming ages affect your total lifetime benefits, factoring in these projected COLA increases as your baseline grows.
- •Projected COLA of roughly 3.5%–3.6% would boost average retiree checks by about $70 per month starting January 2027.
- •The higher adjustment reflects ongoing inflation pressures, meaning bigger checks but continued higher prices for everyday expenses.
- •The official COLA announcement will come in mid-October after final inflation data, giving retirees a short window to update their 2027 budgets.
Mid‑career savers should factor higher future Social Security payments into their long‑term income projections, but still prioritize catch‑up contributions and Roth strategies since rising COLAs also signal persistent inflation risk for retirement budgets.